Difference between revisions of "Black Swan"
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A Black Swan is something so rare that you don't know how many of it you will have to see in order to prove that it doesn't exist. | A Black Swan is something so rare that you don't know how many of it you will have to see in order to prove that it doesn't exist. | ||
| − | + | Humans have a bad habit of confusing improbability with impossibility. Comprehending rare events is not quite our forte. | |
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| + | Example of Black Swan: our easyBus advert on BAA sites? | ||
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| + | == See Also == | ||
| + | *[[Rare Events]] | ||
| + | *[[False positive paradox]] | ||
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| + | *http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2007/04/22/do2201.xml | ||
Latest revision as of 10:31, 28 May 2008
A Black Swan is something so rare that you don't know how many of it you will have to see in order to prove that it doesn't exist.
Humans have a bad habit of confusing improbability with impossibility. Comprehending rare events is not quite our forte.
Example of Black Swan: our easyBus advert on BAA sites?
