Difference between revisions of "Black Swan"
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A Black Swan is something so rare that you don't know how many of it you will have to see in order to prove that it doesn't exist. | A Black Swan is something so rare that you don't know how many of it you will have to see in order to prove that it doesn't exist. | ||
| − | + | Humans have a bad habit of confusing improbability with impossibility. Comprehending rare events is not quite our forte. | |
| + | |||
| + | Example of Black Swan: our easyBus advert on BAA sites? | ||
Revision as of 10:18, 28 May 2008
A Black Swan is something so rare that you don't know how many of it you will have to see in order to prove that it doesn't exist.
Humans have a bad habit of confusing improbability with impossibility. Comprehending rare events is not quite our forte.
Example of Black Swan: our easyBus advert on BAA sites?
